New Orleans Floods As Hurricane Looms in Weekend Forecast

Fig. 4 Latest spaghetti plots

A tropical storm watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

If maximum sustained winds strengthen to 39 to 73 miles per hour, the system becomes a tropical storm.

USA oil producers on Wednesday cut almost a third of Gulf of Mexico crude output as what could be one of the first major storms of the Atlantic hurricane season threatened offshore oil production and began soaking Louisiana with heavy rains.

Latest numerical guidance supports the idea of strengthening and development of a tropical depression.

So, assuming this low does make it out into the Gulf of Mexico - and signs are good that it will - what will become of it then? The heavy rain that created the flooding in New Orleans later tracked to the southwest, prompting an additional flash flood emergency for Jefferson Parish.

Local authorities also issued warnings to residents as the Mississippi River neared flood levels, rising to 16 feet (4.9 meters) in New Orleans.

Widespread flooding has already been reported in New Orleans.

AccuWeather is forecasting up to 24 inches from this developing tropical system.

The Gulf Coast area is prepared for intense weather. This scenario would be a little more impactful for the ArkLaTex, particularly in terms of heavy rain potential for some of the area.

The storm-surge watches warn residents of possible flooding from rising waters and coastal inundations. The current forecast calls for increasing rain chances through the weekend as the system moves through the Gulf of Mexico. The city has 118 of its 120 pumps "available", the news release notes.

"The city is protected to a project height of 20 feet".

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"No one should take this storm lightly", Gov. Edwards said.

How strong the feature becomes will determine the strength of the wind. Some of the tornadoes can be wrapped in rain and hard to see until the storm is already upon a neighborhood.

Will storm Barry become a hurricane?

A major hurricane in these areas could significantly impact production.

Some oil rigs in the Gulf of Mexico have been evacuated.

Today, tropical storm Barry will bring down scattered showers and some isolated thunderstorms.

The NOAA now believes the storm could intensify to hurricane strength later this week.

Squalls will intensify in the eastern Gulf and begin to propagate westward with the movement of the storm.

"The U.S. just had its wettest 12-month period on record beating the previous record set last month which beat the record set the month before", Kahn said, citing NOAA statistics. PTC Two should form into a tropical depression soon. The closer the storm the more flooding along the coast. This part of the tropical season is known as the Cabo Verde season.

O'Brien noted it's not unusual for the remnants of tropical systems that hit the Gulf Coast region to eventually work their way north and east. This will be the second named system of the Atlantic Hurricane Season so far, getting the name of Barry.

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